In Defence of Liberty

Driven by data; ridden with liberty.

Tag Archives: Professor John Curtice

General Election 2017: Curtice-Firth Methodology of Exit Polls

At 10pm on election day, the polls close and the broadcasters reveal what the exit poll predicted who win the election, and how many seats each party will take. An … Continue reading

June 14, 2017 · 2 Comments

‘Shy Voters’ and the 2017 General Election

Perhaps it is a common misconception that ‘shy Tories’ were responsible for the 2015 general polling miss. In The Independent, Shehab Khan proffers a new species of voter: ‘shy Corbynites’: … Continue reading

May 10, 2017

Local Elections 2017: Results

After a fascinating day of counting and analysis on Friday, the 2017 local elections have concluded. English Councils There were 34 councils up for election, comprised of 27 non-metropolitan county … Continue reading

May 6, 2017

Local Elections 2017: PNS and NEV

On May 4th 2017, the British public will be votingĀ in local elections across England, Scotland and Wales. Elections will be held in 34 councils in England, all 32 councils in … Continue reading

April 15, 2017 · 1 Comment

Local Election Performance II

Continuing on how to judge a party’s local election performance, Shadow Chancellor John McDonnell MP (Labour, Hayes and Harlington) suggested the party’s performance was “making up ground”, and looking for … Continue reading

May 23, 2016

National Equivalence

After a set of elections on local councils, the questions arises as to how well each political party performed. The problem is that each election has a different set of … Continue reading

May 13, 2016 · 1 Comment

British Euroscepticism

In less than nine weeks, Britain will go to the polls in a referendum on the nation’s membership of the European Union (EU). The question arises: what attitudes lie behind … Continue reading

April 29, 2016