In Defence of Liberty

Driven by data; ridden with liberty.

Tag Archives: General Election 2017

General Election 2017: Final Polls Analysis

One notable feature of this year’s general election was the wide spread in polling estimates. Whilst a simple average of British Polling Council member polls placed the Conservatives at 44% … Continue reading

June 24, 2017 · Leave a comment

General Election 2017: Curtice-Firth Methodology of Exit Polls

At 10pm on election day, the polls close and the broadcasters reveal what the exit poll predicted who win the election, and how many seats each party will take. An … Continue reading

June 14, 2017 · 2 Comments

General Election 2017: Youth Turnout Figures

Swiftly after polls closed, the claim that 72% of registered voters aged 18 to 24 had voted in the 2017 General Election was proliferated. My contacts are telling me that … Continue reading

June 12, 2017 · Leave a comment

General Election 2017: Seat Predictions and MRP Models

Whilst opinion polls can estimate party vote shares across Great Britain (or whatever part of the country is being surveyed), this is not a precise indicator of the number of … Continue reading

June 11, 2017 · Leave a comment

General Election 2017: Final Polls and the Exit Poll

After Prime Minister Theresa May called a general election to seek greater certainty and stability over negotiations (i.e. a larger majority), the Conservatives are now the largest party in a … Continue reading

June 10, 2017 · Leave a comment

‘Shy Voters’ and the 2017 General Election

Perhaps it is a common misconception that ‘shy Tories’ were responsible for the 2015 general polling miss. In The Independent, Shehab Khan proffers a new species of voter: ‘shy Corbynites’: … Continue reading

May 10, 2017

General Election 2017

On 8th June 2017, the British public will go to polling stations again: the third all-UK ballot in three years. Prime Minister Theresa May sought to hold a snap general … Continue reading

April 22, 2017