In Defence of Liberty

Driven by data; ridden with liberty.

‘Shy Voters’ and the 2017 General Election

Perhaps it is a common misconception that ‘shy Tories’ were responsible for the 2015 general polling miss. In The Independent, Shehab Khan proffers a new species of voter: ‘shy Corbynites’: … Continue reading

May 10, 2017 · Leave a comment

Résultat correct, partage incorrect

Emmanuel Macron has been elected as the President of France. (Video: AFP News Agency) Polling Similar to the first round, I will look at the final polls from each company, … Continue reading

May 8, 2017 · Leave a comment

Local Elections 2017: Results

After a fascinating day of counting and analysis on Friday, the 2017 local elections have concluded. English Councils There were 34 councils up for election, comprised of 27 non-metropolitan county … Continue reading

May 6, 2017 · Leave a comment

Local Elections 2017: Performance

Tomorrow, people from across the country will go to vote for seats in selected English local councils, in mayoral contests, and in Scottish and Welsh local government elections. This article … Continue reading

May 3, 2017 · Leave a comment

Misreporting Polls and Other Matters

Misreporting polls A rather curious incident occurred with an ORB International poll, sponsored by the Daily Telegraph. The article’s initial version began: Support for Brexit has hit a five month … Continue reading

April 29, 2017 · Leave a comment

The Phantom Poll of Norwich South

Clive Lewis MP (Labour, Norwich South) will be defending his seat in the upcoming general election. To further this cause, Mr Lewis posted what was seemingly a constituency poll, showing … Continue reading

April 27, 2017 · Leave a comment

Les sondages étaient corrects

On 23rd April, French voters went to polling stations for the first round of this year’s presidential election. First Round Despite some expectations there would be another major polling miss, … Continue reading

April 25, 2017 · 1 Comment